Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.