Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 24.38% | 27.26% | 48.36% |
| Both teams to score 44.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.14% | 79.86% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.6% | 40.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.98% | 77.02% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.28% | 24.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.73% | 59.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% 2-1 @ 5.73% 2-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 1.73% 3-0 @ 1.24% 3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.31% Total : 24.38% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 13.95% 0-2 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-3 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.59% 1-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.35% |