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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK
BalaĆ­dos
Atletico Madrid logo

Celta Vigo
0 - 2
Atletico


Beltran (41'), Nolito (63'), Aspas (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Suarez (6'), Carrasco (90+5')
Hermoso (17'), Costa (37'), Felipe (71'), Herrera (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
24.38%27.26%48.36%
Both teams to score 44.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.5%59.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.14%79.86%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6%40.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98%77.02%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28%24.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73%59.27%
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 24.38%
    Atletico Madrid 48.35%
    Draw 27.25%
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.05%
2-1 @ 5.73%
2-0 @ 4.1%
3-1 @ 1.73%
3-0 @ 1.24%
3-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 24.38%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 9.99%
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 13.95%
0-2 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-3 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-4 @ 1.59%
1-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 48.35%

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