Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 40.16% | 27.54% | 32.3% |
| Both teams to score 48.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.06% | 56.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.15% | 77.85% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% | 27.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.67% | 63.33% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% | 32.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% | 69.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.15% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.06% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.3% |