Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Eibar |
| 46.86% | 24.94% | 28.2% |
| Both teams to score 54.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.81% | 48.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.66% | 70.34% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% | 20.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% | 53.15% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% | 31.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% | 67.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-0 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.86% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.48% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.2% |