Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 41.26% | 28.29% | 30.45% |
| Both teams to score 45.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.89% | 60.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.68% | 80.32% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% | 28.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.52% | 64.48% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% | 35.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.57% | 72.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 12.77% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.26% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.03% Total : 30.44% |