Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 41.88% | 27.37% | 30.75% |
| Both teams to score 48.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.27% | 56.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.32% | 77.68% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% | 26.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.01% | 61.98% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% | 33.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.71% | 70.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.88% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.75% |