Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Valencia |
| 40.02% | 27.33% | 32.66% |
| Both teams to score 49.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% | 56.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% | 77.13% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% | 27.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% | 62.89% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% | 31.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% | 68.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 8.37% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.66% |