La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Oct 1, 2020 at 8.30pm UK

Balaídos

Celta Vigo
0 - 3
Barcelona

Aidoo (39'), Araujo (48'), Tapia (69'), Murillo (75'), Beltran (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fati (11'), Olaza (51' og.), Roberto (90+5')
Lenglet (23'), Pique (42'), Alba (84'), Busquets (87')
Lenglet (42')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Barcelona
15.75%	20.98%	63.26%

Both teams to score 50.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.15%

45.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.83%

68.16%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.06%

41.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.62%

78.38%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.15%

13.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.78%

41.22%

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 15.75%

Barcelona 63.26%

Draw 20.98%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 5.05% 2-1 @ 4.33% 2-0 @ 2.19% 3-1 @ 1.26% 3-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.69% Total : 15.75%	1-1 @ 9.98% 0-0 @ 5.81% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.98%	0-1 @ 11.48% 0-2 @ 11.35% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 7.48% 1-3 @ 6.5% 0-4 @ 3.7% 1-4 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-5 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.4% 1-5 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.72% Total : 63.26%