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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Oct 4, 2020 at 11am UK
Estadio El Sadar
Celta Vigo logo

Osasuna
2 - 0
Celta Vigo

Roncaglia (23'), Calleri (76')
Garcia (55'), Sanjurjo (60'), Garcia (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tapia (26'), Rodriguez (82'), Murillo (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Celta Vigo, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawCelta Vigo
40.1%28.33%31.57%
Both teams to score 46.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.06%59.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.81%80.2%
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77%29.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81%65.19%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26%34.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53%71.47%
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 40.1%
    Celta Vigo 31.56%
    Draw 28.32%
OsasunaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.49%
2-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 1.02%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 40.1%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.32%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 31.56%