Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 40.1% | 28.33% | 31.57% |
| Both teams to score 46.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.06% | 59.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.81% | 80.2% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% | 29.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% | 65.19% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% | 34.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.53% | 71.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.58% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.2% Total : 31.56% |