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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2020 at 3pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Granada logo

Atletico
6 - 1
Granada

Costa (9'), Correa (47'), Felix (65'), Llorente (72'), Suarez (85', 90+3')
Felix (27'), Niguez (59'), Partey (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Molina (87')
Duarte (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Granada, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawGranada
49.52%27.88%22.59%
Both teams to score 41.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.21%62.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.69%82.31%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35%25.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45%60.55%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96%44.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.85%80.15%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 49.51%
    Granada 22.59%
    Draw 27.87%
Atletico MadridDrawGranada
1-0 @ 15.36%
2-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.58%
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 3.89%
4-0 @ 1.61%
3-2 @ 1.6%
4-1 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 49.51%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 9.26%
1-2 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.04%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.59%