Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Granada |
| 49.52% | 27.88% | 22.59% |
| Both teams to score 41.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.21% | 62.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.69% | 82.31% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% | 25.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.45% | 60.55% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.96% | 44.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.85% | 80.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 15.36% 2-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.58% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 3.89% 4-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.6% 4-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.96% Total : 49.51% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.04% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.59% |