Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 13.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.56%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.11%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.