Champions League header

Champions League

Bayern logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2020 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Bayern
4 - 0
Atletico

Coman (28', 72'), Goretzka (41'), Tolisso (66')
Alaba (5'), Muller (21')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lodi (43'), Koke (44'), Herrera (45+1'), Torreira (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League fixture between Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 13.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.56%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.11%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawAtletico Madrid
61.63%25.16%13.22%
Both teams to score 33.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.34%64.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.35%83.66%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79%21.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.9%54.1%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.9%57.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.9%89.1%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 61.63%
    Atletico Madrid 13.22%
    Draw 25.15%
Bayern MunichDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 18.78%
2-0 @ 14.56%
2-1 @ 8.16%
3-0 @ 7.53%
3-1 @ 4.22%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.64%
3-2 @ 1.18%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 61.63%
0-0 @ 12.11%
1-1 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 2.95%
0-2 @ 1.9%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 13.22%

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