Champions League header

Champions League

Lokomotiv Moscow
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
RZD Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Lokomotiv
1 - 1
Atletico

Miranchuk (25' pen.)
Cerqueira (29'), Krychowiak (51'), Rajkovic (54'), Zhemaletdinov (69'), M. (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gimenez (18')
Suarez (24'), Niguez (44'), Lodi (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Atletico Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.23%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.31%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawAtletico Madrid
18.13%27.4%54.47%
Both teams to score 37.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.88%65.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.02%83.98%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.56%50.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.04%84.96%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58%24.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.15%58.85%
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 18.13%
    Atletico Madrid 54.46%
    Draw 27.38%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.43%
2-1 @ 4.07%
2-0 @ 2.89%
3-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 18.13%
0-0 @ 12.31%
1-1 @ 11.88%
2-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 17.36%
0-2 @ 12.23%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-3 @ 5.75%
1-3 @ 3.94%
0-4 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 54.46%