Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.8%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Cadiz |
| 58.27% | 26.05% | 15.67% |
| Both teams to score 36.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.02% | 63.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.83% | 83.17% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% | 22.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.26% | 55.74% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.01% | 52.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.36% | 86.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 17.72% 2-0 @ 13.3% 2-1 @ 8.45% 3-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 4.23% 4-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.47% Total : 58.26% | 0-0 @ 11.8% 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 2.68% Other @ 0.3% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 7.5% 1-2 @ 3.58% 0-2 @ 2.38% Other @ 2.21% Total : 15.67% |