Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
27.43% | 28.05% | 44.52% |
Both teams to score 45.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.56% | 60.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.43% | 80.57% |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.76% | 38.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25% | 75% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.94% | 27.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.57% | 62.43% |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.61% Total : 27.43% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 13.52% 0-2 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-3 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.26% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.85% Total : 44.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 81 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |