Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 25, 2020 at 8pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
3 - 1
Salzburg

Lewandowski (42'), Wober (52' og.), Sane (68')
Neuer (24'), Roca (48')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Berisha (73')
Koita (58'), Camara (90+5')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Red Bull Salzburg win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
58.88%	22.98%	18.14%

Both teams to score 48.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.8%

50.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.84%

72.16%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.27%

16.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.35%

46.65%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.44%

41.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.95%

78.05%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 58.87%

Red Bull Salzburg 18.14%

Draw 22.97%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 5.82% 4-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.06% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.89% Total : 58.87%	1-1 @ 10.91% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.97%	0-1 @ 6.11% 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.14%