Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 19, 2020 at 5.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
1 - 2
Bayern

Schick (14')
Bailey (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lewandowski (43', 90+3')
Gnabry (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.62%) and 1-3 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 2-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Bayern Munich
18.73%	18.83%	62.44%

Both teams to score 64.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.76%

30.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.52%

51.47%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.98%

29.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.08%

64.91%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.6%

9.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.38%

31.61%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 18.73%

Bayern Munich 62.44%

Draw 18.83%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.94% 1-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.41% 2-0 @ 2.09% 3-1 @ 2.04% Other @ 3.89% Total : 18.73%	1-1 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 2.73% 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.39% Total : 18.83%	1-2 @ 9.43% 0-2 @ 7.62% 1-3 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 6.45% 0-3 @ 6.01% 2-3 @ 4.6% 1-4 @ 4.4% 0-4 @ 3.56% 2-4 @ 2.72% 1-5 @ 2.08% 0-5 @ 1.68% 2-5 @ 1.29% 3-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.04% Total : 62.44%