Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 3, 2020 at 8pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Kamara (26'), Ndoye (47')
Ndoye (39'), Daniliuc (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Diaby (22'), Dragovic (32'), Baumgartlinger (51')
Demirbay (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Nice and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.21%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Nice win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
32.4%	22.39%	45.2%

Both teams to score 66.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.94%

34.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.07%

55.93%

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.63%

21.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.66%

54.34%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.31%

15.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.25%

44.75%

Score Analysis

Nice 32.4%

Bayer Leverkusen 45.2%

Draw 22.39%

Nice	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.39% 1-0 @ 5.17% 2-0 @ 3.99% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.63% Total : 32.4%	1-1 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 6.85% 0-0 @ 3.35% 3-3 @ 2.18% Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 8.87% 0-1 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 5.48% 2-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.55% 1-4 @ 2.54% 2-4 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.64% 3-4 @ 1.01% 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.03% Total : 45.2%