Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Monaco |
| 35.58% | 26.11% | 38.31% |
| Both teams to score 53.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% | 50.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% | 72.6% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% | 27.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.09% | 62.91% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% | 25.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.16% | 60.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 5.94% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.58% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 8.39% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 3.78% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.31% |