Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Dec 13, 2020 at 5pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
4 - 1
Hoffenheim

Bailey (4', 27'), Wirtz (55'), Alario (90+1' pen.)
Diaby (31'), Sinkgraven (35'), Amiri (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Baumgartner (50')
Grillitsch (38'), Posch (58'), Vogt (74'), Nordtveit (90+1')
Grillitsch (64'), Posch (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hoffenheim
46.16%	23.39%	30.45%

Both teams to score 61.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.14%

39.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.78%

62.22%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.42%

17.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.86%

48.14%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.68%

25.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.9%

60.1%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 46.16%

Hoffenheim 30.45%

Draw 23.38%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 5.35% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.91% Total : 46.16%	1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.45% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.45%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim

Bayer Leverkusen

82.5%

Draw

15.0%

Hoffenheim

2.5%