Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 10, 2020 at 8pm UK

PreZero Arena

Hoffenheim
4 - 1
Gent

Beier (21', 49'), Skov (26'), Kramaric (64')
John (44'), Amade (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Fortuna (81')
Bezus (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Hoffenheim and Gent, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Gent had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.2%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Gent
50.19%	20.71%	29.1%

Both teams to score 70.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.56%

27.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.96%

48.04%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.37%

11.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.35%

36.65%

Gent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.1%

19.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.98%

52.02%

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 50.19%

Gent 29.1%

Draw 20.71%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Gent
2-1 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 6.2% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-2 @ 5.01% 1-0 @ 4.98% 3-0 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 3.34% 4-2 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-3 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 1.44% 5-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 4.02% Total : 50.19%	1-1 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 6.98% 3-3 @ 2.7% 0-0 @ 2.31% Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.71%	1-2 @ 6.49% 2-3 @ 3.76% 0-1 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-2 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 1.41% 3-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.1%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Gent

Hoffenheim

81.9%

Draw

13.3%

Gent

4.8%