Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 19, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Dortmund

Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brandt (67')
Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
26.31%	22.52%	51.17%

Both teams to score 61.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.37%

38.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.07%

60.93%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51%

27.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.01%

62.99%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.72%

15.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.01%

43.99%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 26.31%

Borussia Dortmund 51.17%

Draw 22.52%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.58% 1-0 @ 5.43% 2-0 @ 3.5% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 1.51% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.31%	1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 4.2% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.52%	1-2 @ 9.57% 0-1 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 7.41% 1-3 @ 5.99% 0-3 @ 4.64% 2-3 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.82% 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.92% Total : 51.17%