Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 20, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Veltins-Arena

Schalke
0 - 4
Dortmund

Hoppe (14'), Kolasinac (66')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sancho (42'), Braut Haaland (45', 79'), Guerreiro (60')
Bellingham (63'), Dahoud (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 74.66%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 9.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.55%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
9.84%	15.5%	74.66%

Both teams to score 51.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.93%

35.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.92%

57.07%

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.61%

44.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.56%

80.44%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.04%

7.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.91%

28.08%

Score Analysis

Schalke 04 9.84%

Borussia Dortmund 74.66%

Draw 15.5%

Schalke 04	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 2.95% 1-0 @ 2.87% 2-0 @ 1.16% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.85% Total : 9.84%	1-1 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 3.73% 0-0 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.97% Total : 15.5%	0-2 @ 11.31% 0-3 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 8.94% 1-3 @ 7.76% 0-4 @ 6.05% 1-4 @ 4.91% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-5 @ 3.06% 1-5 @ 2.49% 2-4 @ 1.99% 0-6 @ 1.29% 1-6 @ 1.05% 2-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.92% Total : 74.66%

How you voted: Schalke vs Dortmund

Schalke 04

15.9%

Draw

8.7%

Borussia Dortmund

75.4%