Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 6, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 1
Dortmund

Woo-yeong (49'), Schmid (52')
Haberer (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Moukoko (76')
Bellingham (78'), Akanji (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.81%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.62% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (4.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
18.62%	18.58%	62.81%

Both teams to score 65.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.81%

29.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.79%

50.21%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52%

28.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.75%

64.25%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.99%

9.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.29%

30.71%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 18.62%

Borussia Dortmund 62.81%

Draw 18.58%

Freiburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.87% 1-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-1 @ 2.04% 2-0 @ 2.03% Other @ 4% Total : 18.62%	1-1 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 2.57% 3-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 0.42% Total : 18.58%	1-2 @ 9.34% 1-3 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 6.18% 0-3 @ 5.96% 2-3 @ 4.7% 1-4 @ 4.51% 0-4 @ 3.59% 2-4 @ 2.83% 1-5 @ 2.17% 0-5 @ 1.73% 2-5 @ 1.36% 3-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 4.33% Total : 62.81%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Dortmund

Freiburg

15.9%

Draw

18.2%

Borussia Dortmund

65.9%