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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 54.08% | 24.16% | 21.76% |
| Both teams to score 50.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% | 50.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% | 72.32% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% | 18.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.21% | 49.79% |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.22% | 37.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.45% | 74.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% 2-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.08% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.82% 1-2 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.6% Total : 21.76% |