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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 17.37% | 20.72% | 61.9% |
| Both teams to score 54.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.22% | 41.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.82% | 64.18% |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.53% | 37.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.75% | 74.25% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.03% | 12.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.54% | 39.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 4.78% 1-0 @ 4.77% 2-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.6% 3-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.37% | 1-1 @ 9.74% 2-2 @ 4.89% 0-0 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.72% | 0-2 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-1 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-4 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 3.33% 2-4 @ 1.7% 0-5 @ 1.44% 1-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.34% Total : 61.89% |