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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Dec 16, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Leipzig logo

Hoffenheim
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Vogt (50'), Sessegnon (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Poulsen (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.61%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
26.06%20.2%53.74%
Both teams to score 69.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.55%27.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.95%48.05%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3%21.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15%54.85%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.33%10.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.45%34.54%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 26.06%
    RB Leipzig 53.74%
    Draw 20.2%
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.05%
1-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 3.45%
3-1 @ 3.08%
2-0 @ 2.7%
3-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 26.06%
1-1 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 6.77%
3-3 @ 2.57%
0-0 @ 2.31%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 20.2%
1-2 @ 8.86%
1-3 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 5.8%
0-1 @ 5.18%
2-3 @ 5.05%
0-3 @ 4.32%
1-4 @ 3.7%
2-4 @ 2.83%
0-4 @ 2.42%
1-5 @ 1.66%
3-4 @ 1.44%
2-5 @ 1.26%
0-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 53.74%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig

Hoffenheim
11.4%
Draw
12.7%
RB Leipzig
75.9%
79