Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 20, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Forsberg (70')
Angelino (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Giesselmann (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Union Berlin
61.67%	20.73%	17.59%

Both teams to score 54.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.56%

41.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.17%

63.83%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.07%

12.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.62%

39.37%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99%

37.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2%

73.8%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 61.67%

Union Berlin 17.59%

Draw 20.73%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Union Berlin
2-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 6.79% 4-0 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.39% Total : 61.67%	1-1 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.73%	1-2 @ 4.84% 0-1 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.64% 1-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.4% Total : 17.59%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

RB Leipzig

58.4%

Draw

28.7%

Union Berlin

12.9%