Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 23, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
2 - 1
Union Berlin

Niederlechner (17', 47')
Strobl (45'), Oxford (49'), Niederlechner (55')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ingvartsen (25')
Trimmel (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
24.12%	24.48%	51.4%

Both teams to score 52.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.67%

49.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62%

71.38%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.01%

34.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.27%

71.73%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.82%

19.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.15%

50.85%

Score Analysis

Augsburg 24.12%

Union Berlin 51.4%

Draw 24.47%

Augsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 7.05% 2-1 @ 6.11% 2-0 @ 3.7% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.12%	1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 6.71% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.47%	0-1 @ 11.08% 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-2 @ 9.15% 1-3 @ 5.29% 0-3 @ 5.04% 2-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.05% Total : 51.4%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Union Berlin

Augsburg

26.5%

Draw

24.5%

Union Berlin

49.0%