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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Union Berlin |
36.1% | 25.4% | 38.5% |
Both teams to score 56.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.47% | 47.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.26% | 69.74% |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.37% | 25.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.47% | 60.53% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.69% | 24.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.3% | 58.7% |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 8.48% 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.47% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.04% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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