Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan Tah 3' yellowcard
  • Wendell 13' yellowcard
  • Lucas Alario 14' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 67' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 68' yellowcard
  • Timothy Fosu-Mensah 82' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 84' goal
  • goal Robert Glatzel 89'
  • goal Kevin Stoger 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kevin Stoger 90'+4'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 5 - 2 Stuttgart
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Lucas Alario

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz 1 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jean-Philippe Mateta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 64.79%
Draw 18.88%
Mainz 05 16.33%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.77%

Goals

Over 2.5 64.97%
Under 2.5 35.03%
Over 3.5 42.97%
Under 3.5 57.03%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 89.81%
Under 0.5 10.19%
Over 1.5 66.53%
Under 1.5 33.47%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 65.44%
Under 0.5 34.56%
Over 1.5 28.72%
Under 1.5 71.28%

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 64.79%
Draw 18.89%
Mainz 05 16.33%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 7.43%
3-0 @ 6.99%
4-1 @ 4.24%
4-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-2 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.94%
5-0 @ 1.82%
5-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 64.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.55%
2-2 @ 5.18%
0-0 @ 3.52%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.89%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 4.54%
0-1 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 16.33%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Latza 75' yellowcard
  • Edimilson Fernandes 85' yellowcard
  • Dong-Won Ji 86' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Alario 30'
  • yellowcard Lars Bender 57'
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Kevin Volland 2' goal
  • Julian Baumgartlinger 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moussa Niakhate 68'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT OPEL ARENA (Mainz)
  • yellowcard Wendell 58'
  • redcard Wendell 71'
  • goal Lucas Alario 93'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2019 7.30pm
1
5
HT : 1 4
FT OPEL ARENA (Mainz)
  • Robin Quaison 9' goal
  • Pierre Kunde 38' yellowcard
  • Robin Quaison 61' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 89' yellowcard
  • goal Wendell 5'
  • goal Kai Havertz 20'
  • goal Julian Brandt 30'
  • yellowcard Karim Bellarabi 38'
  • goal Karim Bellarabi 43'
  • goal Julian Brandt 64'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 23, 2018 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena (Leverkusen)
  • Sven Bender 4' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 62' goal
  • Dominik Kohr 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Levin Oztunali 72'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 81'
Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2018 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena (Leverkusen)
  • Leon Bailey 2' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 48' goal
  • Wendell 68' goal
  • yellowcard Nigel de Jong 18'
  • yellowcard Giulio Donati 67'