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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 13, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Mainz logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Mainz 05

Alario (14'), Schick (84')
Tah (3'), Wendell (13'), Tapsoba (67'), Schick (68'), Fosu-Mensah (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (89'), Stoger (90+2')
Stoger (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawMainz 05
64.79%18.88%16.33%
Both teams to score 58.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.97%35.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.97%57.03%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.81%10.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.53%33.47%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44%34.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72%71.28%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 64.79%
    Mainz 05 16.33%
    Draw 18.89%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 7.43%
3-0 @ 6.99%
4-1 @ 4.24%
4-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-2 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.94%
5-0 @ 1.82%
5-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 64.79%
1-1 @ 8.55%
2-2 @ 5.18%
0-0 @ 3.52%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.89%
1-2 @ 4.54%
0-1 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 16.33%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Mainz 05

Bayer Leverkusen
91.7%
Draw
5.6%
Mainz 05
2.8%
72
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mainz
0-1
B. Leverkusen

Latza (75'), Fernandes (85'), Ji (86')
Alario (30')
Bender (57')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
0-1
B. Leverkusen
Alario (93')
Wendell (58')
Wendell (71')
Feb 8, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Mainz
1-5
B. Leverkusen
Quaison (9')
Kunde (38'), Quaison (61'), Barreiro (89')
Wendell (5'), Havertz (20'), Brandt (30', 64'), Bellarabi (43')
Bellarabi (38')
Sep 23, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
B. Leverkusen
1-0
Mainz
Havertz (62')
Bender (4'), Kohr (68')

Oztunali (72'), Bell (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Wolfsburg146353125621
7Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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