Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Mainz
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Moussa Niakhate 24' goal
  • Moussa Niakhate 35' goal
  • Moussa Niakhate 40' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 50' goal
  • Danny da Costa 75' yellowcard
  • goal Tyler Adams 15'
  • yellowcard Marcel Halstenberg 23'
  • goal Marcel Halstenberg 30'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 70'
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 88'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 90'+2'

Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz 0 - 2 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jean-Philippe Mateta

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Marcel Sabitzer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-0 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result

Mainz 05 13.99%
Draw 18.97%
RB Leipzig 67.04%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.38%

Goals

Over 2.5 59.53%
Under 2.5 40.48%
Over 3.5 37.14%
Under 3.5 62.86%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 58.96%
Under 0.5 41.04%
Over 1.5 22.41%
Under 1.5 77.59%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 88.84%
Under 0.5 11.16%
Over 1.5 64.37%
Under 1.5 35.63%

Score analysis

Mainz 05 13.99%
Draw 18.97%
RB Leipzig 67.04%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 4.08%
2-1 @ 3.98%
2-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.3%
3-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 13.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.95%
0-0 @ 4.58%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 18.97%
RB Leipzig
0-2 @ 11.01%
0-1 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-3 @ 8.05%
1-3 @ 7.17%
0-4 @ 4.41%
1-4 @ 3.93%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-5 @ 1.94%
2-4 @ 1.75%
1-5 @ 1.72%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 67.04%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 1
RB Leipzig
Sep 20, 2020 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Mainz
  • Emil Forsberg 17' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 21' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 51' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean-Philippe Mateta 30'
  • goal Jean-Philippe Mateta 48'
  • yellowcard Danny Latza 58'
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Mainz
May 24, 2020 2.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT Opel Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Pierre Kunde 20' yellowcard
  • Jeffrey Bruma 31' yellowcard
  • Jeremiah St Juste 79' yellowcard
  • goal Timo Werner 11'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 13'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 17'
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 23'
  • yellowcard Timo Werner 35'
  • goal Marcel Sabitzer 36'
  • goal Timo Werner 48'
  • goal Timo Werner 75'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
RB Leipzig
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
8
0
HT : 5 0
FT Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)
Mainz
  • Marcel Sabitzer 5' goal
  • Timo Werner 30' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 35' goal
  • Marcel Halstenberg 39' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 44' goal
  • Timo Werner 48' goal
  • Nordi Mukiele 50' goal
  • Timo Werner 87' goal
  • yellowcard Ronael Pierre-Gabriel 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Mainz
May 3, 2019 7.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT OPEL ARENA (Mainz)
RB Leipzig
  • Karim Onisiwo 43' goal
  • Daniel Brosinski 55' yellowcard
  • Moussa Niakhate 67' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 83' goal
  • goal Lukas Klostermann 20'
  • goal Lukas Klostermann 32'
  • goal Timo Werner 49'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 52'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
Dec 16, 2018 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)
Mainz
  • Yussuf Poulsen 14' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 19' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 27' yellowcard
  • Marcel Sabitzer 42' yellowcard
  • Willi Orban 51' yellowcard
  • Timo Werner 74' goal
  • Timo Werner 88' goal
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 38'
  • yellowcard Danny Latza 53'
  • yellowcard Moussa Niakhate 54'
  • yellowcard Robin Zentner 66'
Bundesliga
Mainz
Apr 29, 2018 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT OPEL ARENA (Mainz)
RB Leipzig
  • Pablo de Blasis 29' goal
  • Stefan Bell 38' yellowcard
  • Alexandru Maxim 85' goal
  • Alexandru Maxim 89' yellowcard
  • Bote Baku 90' goal
  • yellowcard Yussuf Poulsen 30'
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 40'
  • yellowcard Naby Keita 89'
  • redcard Naby Keita 90'

Form Data

Mainz 0 - 2 Wolfsburg
Dortmund 1 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 2 Frankfurt
Bayern 5 - 2 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 2 VfL Bochum
Mainz 0 - 1 Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Union Berlin
Wolfsburg 2 - 2 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 1 - 3 Dortmund
Stuttgart 0 - 1 RB Leipzig
Augsburg 0 - 3 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 0 - 0 FC Koln