Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 19, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
0 - 2
Wolfsburg

Boetius (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bialek (65'), Weghorst (79')
Philipp (53'), Guilavogui (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Wolfsburg
25.84%	23.81%	50.35%

Both teams to score 56.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.05%

44.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.7%

67.3%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.81%

31.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.48%

67.52%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.09%

17.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.28%

48.71%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 25.84%

Wolfsburg 50.35%

Draw 23.8%

Mainz 05	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 6.52% 1-0 @ 6.51% 2-0 @ 3.79% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.83% Total : 25.84%	1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 9.63% 0-1 @ 9.61% 0-2 @ 8.26% 1-3 @ 5.52% 0-3 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.04% 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.35%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg

Mainz 05

18.2%

Draw

7.8%

Wolfsburg

74.0%