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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | FC Koln |
| 60.37% | 20.23% | 19.39% |
| Both teams to score 60.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.93% | 36.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.82% | 58.18% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.37% | 11.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.33% | 36.67% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.1% | 31.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.65% | 68.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 8.59% 1-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 7.04% 3-0 @ 6.16% 3-2 @ 4.02% 4-1 @ 3.78% 4-0 @ 3.31% 4-2 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.63% 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.53% Total : 60.38% | 1-1 @ 9.12% 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 3.71% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.23% | 1-2 @ 5.21% 0-1 @ 4.24% 0-2 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.48% Total : 19.39% |