Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 2, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
3 - 4
RB Leipzig

Kahveci (45+3', 72', 85')
Skrtel (38'), Turuc (58'), Tekdemir (79'), Da Silva (89')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Poulsen (26'), Mukiele (43'), Olmo (66'), Sorloth (90+2')
Upamecano (53'), Olmo (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	RB Leipzig
43.75%	25.59%	30.66%

Both teams to score 54.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.3%

49.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.28%

71.71%

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.35%

22.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.72%

56.28%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91%

30.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.77%

66.23%

Score Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 43.75%

RB Leipzig 30.66%

Draw 25.59%

Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.75%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.18% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.21% Total : 30.66%