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Champions League

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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 24, 2020 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Leipzig logo

PSG
1 - 0
RB Leipzig

Neymar (11' pen.)
Neymar (40'), Paredes (41'), Rafinha (77'), Herrera (82'), Verratti (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Forsberg (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawRB Leipzig
49.78%22.58%27.64%
Both teams to score 62.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.16%37.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.9%60.1%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52%15.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.64%44.37%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86%26.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78%61.22%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 49.78%
    RB Leipzig 27.64%
    Draw 22.58%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.45%
1-0 @ 7.55%
2-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-0 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 3.94%
4-1 @ 2.74%
4-0 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 1.84%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 49.78%
1-1 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.05%
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-1 @ 5.43%
0-2 @ 3.64%
1-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 1.63%
1-4 @ 1.02%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.64%