Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 6, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
5 - 2
Stuttgart

Demirbay (18', 31'), Bailey (56'), Wirtz (68'), Gray (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kalajdzic (50', 77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.77%) and 3-1 (5.64%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Stuttgart
46.04%	21.94%	32.03%

Both teams to score 67.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.07%

31.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.52%

53.48%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.42%

14.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.35%

42.64%

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.45%

20.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.94%

53.06%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 46.04%

Stuttgart 32.03%

Draw 21.94%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 8.79% 1-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 5.64% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-2 @ 4.46% 3-0 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-3 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.49% Total : 46.04%	1-1 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 6.95% 0-0 @ 2.99% 3-3 @ 2.36% Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.94%	1-2 @ 7.22% 0-1 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-2 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.45% 3-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.03%