Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Jan 29, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Stuttgart
2 - 0
Mainz 05

Kalajdzic (55'), Wamangituka (72')
Forster (33')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Niakhate (21'), Bell (43'), Onisiwo (45+1'), Svensson (54'), Kohr (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Mainz 05
53.09%	22.44%	24.46%

Both teams to score 59.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.97%

40.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.61%

62.39%

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.86%

15.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.29%

43.71%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35%

29.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31%

65.69%

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 53.09%

Mainz 05 24.46%

Draw 22.44%

Stuttgart	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 6.12% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 2.89% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.91% Total : 53.09%	1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 4.49% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 6.26% 0-1 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.15% Total : 24.46%