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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 30.31% | 21.87% | 47.82% |
| Both teams to score 67.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.47% | 32.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.82% | 54.18% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.21% | 21.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.01% | 54.99% |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.81% | 14.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.09% | 41.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 7.01% 1-0 @ 4.71% 2-0 @ 3.59% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.45% Total : 30.31% | 1-1 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 6.84% 0-0 @ 3.09% 3-3 @ 2.26% Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.87% | 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-1 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 5.85% 2-3 @ 4.45% 0-3 @ 3.84% 1-4 @ 2.85% 2-4 @ 2.17% 0-4 @ 1.87% 1-5 @ 1.11% 3-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.66% Total : 47.82% |