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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 37.62% | 24.96% | 37.42% |
| Both teams to score 57.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.56% | 45.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.22% | 67.77% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% | 23.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.99% | 58.01% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% | 23.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.83% | 58.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.62% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-1 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.42% |