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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 40.37% | 27.1% | 32.53% |
| Both teams to score 50.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.77% | 55.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% | 76.46% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% | 26.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% | 62.14% |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% | 31.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.98% | 68.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.37% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 9.77% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.53% |