Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
