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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Augsburg |
| 38.06% | 26.36% | 35.57% |
| Both teams to score 52.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.22% | 51.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.46% | 73.54% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.49% | 26.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.3% | 61.7% |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% | 27.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.42% | 63.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Augsburg |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 6.02% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.57% |