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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
25.24% | 24.54% | 50.22% |
Both teams to score 53.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.39% | 48.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.27% | 70.73% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.37% | 33.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.72% | 70.28% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.62% | 19.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.83% | 51.17% |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
1-0 @ 7.1% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 3.87% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.24% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 5.23% 0-3 @ 4.8% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 1.97% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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