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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 59.15% | 23.1% | 17.75% |
| Both teams to score 47.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.75% | 51.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% | 73.08% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% | 17.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.86% | 47.14% |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.36% | 42.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.01% | 78.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 1-0 @ 12.84% 2-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 5.73% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.68% Total : 59.13% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 6.18% 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.77% Total : 17.75% |