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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 26.65% | 25% | 48.34% |
| Both teams to score 53.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% | 49.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.5% | 71.51% |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.06% | 32.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.48% | 69.52% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% | 20.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% | 52.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 1-0 @ 7.5% 2-1 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.48% Total : 26.65% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 9.42% 0-2 @ 8.48% 1-3 @ 4.98% 0-3 @ 4.48% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.34% |