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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Union Berlin |
35.06% | 27.71% | 37.23% |
Both teams to score 48.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.82% | 57.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.96% | 78.04% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% | 30.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% | 67.22% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.43% | 29.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.4% | 65.6% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.15% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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