Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Oct 3, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Ingvartsen (39')
Kohr (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Awoniyi (69', 73')
Haraguchi (45+2'), Knoche (65'), Promel (79'), Kruse (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Union Berlin
35.06%	27.71%	37.23%

Both teams to score 48.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.82%

57.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.96%

78.04%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.08%

30.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.79%

67.22%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.43%

29.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.4%

65.6%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 35.06%

Union Berlin 37.23%

Draw 27.7%

Mainz 05	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.06%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.15% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.23%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin

Mainz 05

74.5%

Draw

19.1%

Union Berlin

6.4%