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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.05%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 22.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 22.48% | 22.47% | 55.05% |
| Both teams to score 57.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.7% | 42.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.29% | 64.71% |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% | 32.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.89% | 69.1% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% | 15.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.02% | 43.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 5.88% 1-0 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.13% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.45% Total : 22.48% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 5.53% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-1 @ 9.35% 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 6.17% 0-3 @ 5.5% 2-3 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 2.9% 0-4 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 1.63% 1-5 @ 1.09% 0-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.05% |