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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
52.44% | 22.74% | 24.82% |
Both teams to score 59.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.95% | 41.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.56% | 63.44% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.28% | 15.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.2% | 44.8% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.09% | 29.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.99% | 66.01% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 5.99% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.77% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.44% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-1 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.1% Total : 24.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 70 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 60 |
3 | Stuttgart | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 56 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 50 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 49 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 40 |
7 | Augsburg | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 33 |
9 | Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 30 |
11 | Heidenheim | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 28 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 25 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 25 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 19 |
17 | FC Koln | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 18 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 65 | -39 | 13 |
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