MX23RW : Tuesday, March 19 09:15:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Leverkusen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 25, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Mainz logo
B. Leverkusen
1 - 0
Mainz 05
Wirtz (62')
Tah (11'), Diaby (44'), Bakker (83'), Alario (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lucoqui (44'), Stach (69'), Jae-sung (86')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawMainz 05
52.44%22.74%24.82%
Both teams to score 59.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.95%41.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.56%63.44%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.28%15.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.2%44.8%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09%29.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99%66.01%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 52.44%
    Mainz 05 24.82%
    Draw 22.74%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 5.99%
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 2.77%
4-0 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.44%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-1 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 3.42%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 24.82%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Mainz 05

Bayer Leverkusen
75.3%
Draw
18.3%
Mainz 05
6.5%
93
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Mainz
Alario (14'), Schick (84')
Tah (3'), Wendell (13'), Tapsoba (67'), Schick (68'), Fosu-Mensah (82')
Glatzel (89'), Stoger (90+2')
Stoger (90+4')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mainz
0-1
B. Leverkusen

Latza (75'), Fernandes (85'), Ji (86')
Alario (30')
Bender (57')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
0-1
B. Leverkusen
Alario (93')
Wendell (58')
Wendell (71')
Feb 8, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Mainz
1-5
B. Leverkusen
Quaison (9')
Kunde (38'), Quaison (61'), Barreiro (89')
Wendell (5'), Havertz (20'), Brandt (30', 64'), Bellarabi (43')
Bellarabi (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26224066184870
2Bayern MunichBayern26193478314760
3Stuttgart26182660312956
4Borussia DortmundDortmund26148453322150
5RB Leipzig26154760322849
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26101064235740
7Augsburg269894342135
8Hoffenheim2696114450-633
9Freiburg2696113648-1233
10Werder Bremen2686123541-630
11Heidenheim2678113544-929
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26610104650-428
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2684142542-1728
14Wolfsburg2667133144-1325
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum26510113054-2425
16Mainz 05Mainz26310132246-2419
17FC Koln2639142047-2718
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2627172665-3913

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!