Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 6

Sep 25, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
1 - 0
Mainz 05

Wirtz (62')
Tah (11'), Diaby (44'), Bakker (83'), Alario (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lucoqui (44'), Stach (69'), Jae-sung (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Mainz 05
52.44%	22.74%	24.82%

Both teams to score 59.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.95%

41.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.56%

63.44%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.28%

15.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.2%

44.8%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09%

29.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.99%

66.01%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 52.44%

Mainz 05 24.82%

Draw 22.74%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 5.99% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.77% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.44%	1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.74%	1-2 @ 6.34% 0-1 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.1% Total : 24.82%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Mainz 05

Bayer Leverkusen

75.3%

Draw

18.3%

Mainz 05

6.5%