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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 47.43% | 22.79% | 29.77% |
| Both teams to score 63.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.63% | 37.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.41% | 59.58% |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% | 16.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.42% | 45.57% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% | 24.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% | 58.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% 1-0 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.43% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-1 @ 5.56% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.77% |