Elversberg
2 - 2
Mainz 05

Schnellbacher (73', 110')
Conrad (46'), Fellhauer (86')

FT
(aet)

Burkardt (89', 116')
Niakhate (69'), Kohr (118')

Mainz win 8-7 on penalties

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Elversberg and Mainz 05.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%).

Result
Elversberg	Draw	Mainz 05
32.68%	23.27%	44.06%

Both teams to score 63.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.72%

38.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.44%

60.56%

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.77%

23.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.86%

57.14%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.21%

17.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.49%

48.51%

Score Analysis

Elversberg 32.68%

Mainz 05 44.06%

Draw 23.26%

Elversberg	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 7.6% 1-0 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.68%	1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 4.13% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.26%	1-2 @ 8.99% 0-1 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 6.16% 1-3 @ 5.17% 2-3 @ 3.78% 0-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.88% Total : 44.06%