Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

Apr 24, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
2 - 1
Bayern

Burkardt (3'), Quaison (37')
Mwene (58'), St Juste (59'), da Costa (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lewandowski (90+4')
Boateng (36'), Goretzka (41'), Alaba (42'), Lewandowski (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.72%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 10.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-3 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Bayern Munich
10.26%	15.02%	74.72%

Both teams to score 55.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.82%

31.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.39%

52.61%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.18%

40.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.6%

77.39%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.96%

7.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.28%

25.72%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 10.26%

Bayern Munich 74.72%

Draw 15.02%

Mainz 05	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.06% 1-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 1.21% 2-0 @ 1.15% 3-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.34% Total : 10.26%	1-1 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 4.06% 0-0 @ 2.87% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.02%	0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-3 @ 8.95% 1-3 @ 8.02% 0-1 @ 7.63% 0-4 @ 5.94% 1-4 @ 5.32% 2-3 @ 3.59% 0-5 @ 3.15% 1-5 @ 2.83% 2-4 @ 2.39% 0-6 @ 1.4% 2-5 @ 1.27% 1-6 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.8% Total : 74.72%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Bayern

Mainz 05

13.6%

Draw

8.0%

Bayern Munich

78.4%